Facts For Working
People has received this article on the recent developments between India and
Pakistan over Kashmir. Lal Khan is the editor of the Pakistani journal
Struggle. We share it for the interests of our readers.
Merchants of Devastation
Lal Khan
Ever since the bloody partition of the
South Asian sub-continent in 1947, the endless history of hostility between
India and Pakistan has been a curse for the oppressed masses. Periodically,
either one of the two regimes turns this mutual hostility into episodes of acute
confrontation — mainly in the interests of continuing domestic politics by
other means. The latest incursion into mainland Pakistan and the bombing at
Balakot by IAF fighter bombers after the Pulwama terrorist attack, and the subsequent
shooting down of two Indian jetfighters by the Pakistan Air force, have
heightened the danger of a full-scale war between the subcontinent’s two
nuclear-armed states. This military escalation has exacerbated a mad rush by
the belligerent media on both sides of the Radcliff Line to bring about a
scenario described by some as ‘MAD’ – the “Mutually Assured Destruction”
syndrome. However there is some method in this madness.
Sidhart Bhatia wrote on the role of the
Indian media in The Wire, “When the history of these times is finally
written, the media’s reprehensible role in creating a climate of hate will
merit a special mention…the nightly screaming about the nation, patriotism and
Pakistan and the constant hate mongering against ‘traitors’ was done with an
eye on the numbers. In a difficult environment, where channels found it
difficult to make money, every trick in the book was legitimate. The audiences were
manipulated into wanting it and the channels gave it to them, ensuring viewer
sickness – it made business sense.” In the Pakistani media the modus operandi
was perhaps a little different, but the intent was just the same.
According to Vipin Narang, professor of
political science at MIT, “neither side seems to want a war. They have
had their ‘Cuban Missile Crisis’ moment and recognise how a couple of wrong
turns could set off uncontrollable escalation". In this gimmickry
of war and peace negotiations, the Modi regime’s prime concern is the
vulnerability of the BJP at the coming elections. In sheer desperation, it is trying
to arouse the hysteria of Hindutva chauvinism, exacerbating anti-Muslim and
anti-Pakistani hatred to inflame mass bigotry and thus secure electoral victory.
Despite the pressures from imperialism, international finance capital and the
Indian bourgeoisie, Modi wants to keep a sub-threshold state of near-war to
linger on. For instance, just moments after the announcement of the release of
the captured Indian pilot, Modi responded with a sarcastic broadside against
Pakistan, saying: “A pilot project has been completed; now we have to make it real."
While his supporters applauded, most observers found the comment arrogant and crude.
Modi is acutely keen to keep militaristic jingoism simmering as a means of luring
voters into the BJP camp. Perhaps Modi seems to harbour the misconception that he
can continue toying with xenophobia without risking a full-fledged war.
The ‘moderate’ reaction of the ruling
circles in Pakistan has been somewhat more restrained. Imran Khan’s gestures of
peace and his warnings of the danger of Armageddon have more to do with
Pakistan’s crumbling economy and the instability that ravages the state. He is
desperate to avoid letting the conflict go beyond the brink, something that
could bring down his short-lived government and bring Pakistan’s mounting
crisis to disaster.
For long years now, the spymasters of Pakistan
and India have maintained the pretence that they don’t really sponsor terror
groups carrying out subversive activities in each other’s vulnerable regions. In
fact, the Indian deep state wants to destabilise Pakistan by interfering in
Baluchistan and other vulnerable regions where the Pakistani state has been rocked
by chronic dissent and at times episodes of armed struggle by local nationalist
movements. Likewise, Pakistan’s deep state has the long-term aim of wrenching
Muslim-majority Kashmir from India. In the past three decades jihadist groups based
in Pakistan have struck targets in India, but the Pakistani state has been
conveniently ambivalent in punishing them. In this conflict between the
subcontinental rivals as in many others around the world, war by proxy has
become a new norm.
The irony is that both states pose to end the
plight and bring prosperity for the Kashmiri masses; it’s the oppressed Kashmiris
that suffer most on both sides of the LoC. In the Indian-occupied Kashmir, the
viciously oppressed population has risen up against its oppression at the hands
of India’s army, the largest deployment of military personnel against a civilian
population in the world. The deprivation, religious discrimination and brutality
of BJP rule have provoked a revolt that has rocked the might of the Indian
state. One of the main causes of the revolt since 2016 has been the
unemployment and deprivation under the Indian occupation. Yet across the LoC in
the Pakistan administered Kashmir, according to a government’s Bureau of Statistics
report released on March 02, 2019, unemployment rate in 2017-18 was 10.3
percent almost double to that of 5.8 percent in rest of Pakistan.
It’s a shocking fact that the Indian and
Pakistani governments are the world’s top spenders on armaments and among its lowest
spenders on health, education and social welfare. According to the
International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS), in 2018 India allocated
four trillion rupees ($58bn) – 2.1 per cent of its gross domestic product – to finance
its 1.4 million active troops. Similarly, last year Pakistan spent 1.26
trillion Pakistani rupees ($11bn) – about 3.6 per cent of its GDP – on its
653,800 troops. The two nuclear adversaries have ballistic missiles capable of
delivering these weapons of mass destruction. Achin Viniak in his epic work After
The Bomb estimates that the costs of the two countries’ nuclear
programmes would, if spent on social development, have largely eradicated
women’s deaths during obstetrics, infant mortality and child illiteracy.
To perpetuate their rule, the subcontinent’s
elites have used the Kashmir time-bomb that was left behind by the British
imperialists to keep the region unstable. And yet successive wars between India
and Pakistan have miserably failed to resolve the conflict. All negotiations
have failed. Individual armed attacks, sans movements, have only furnished the
occupying army with an alibi to perpetuate its tyranny and oppression.
For the last seventy years, the world’s superpowers
and their subservient institutions such as the United Nations have failed to
grant the Kashmiri masses any respite. In a startling confession, the United
Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres publicly washed his hands of any
responsibility to promote a dialogue between India and Pakistan that would pave
the way for the resolution of the Kashmir conflict. On January 18th
he said: “I’ve been offering my good offices in relation to the dialogue between
the two countries that, until now, had no conditions of success.” It’s
only mass uprisings by the Kashmiri people that have shaken the occupation forces.
The militant movement that started in 2016 defied India’s 750,000 troops and
even won support from Indian students, workers, academics and left political
activists.
Most world powers have their economic and
diplomatic interests aligned to a larger India, in terms of markets and
potential for exploitation. Even Pakistan’s dearest friend China has partially
supported the Indian narrative. On 27th February, without referring to the
Indian Air Force’s cross-border strikes in Balakot on the previous day, China’s
foreign minister Wang Yi said that it was “especially important to eradicate the
breeding grounds of terrorism and extremism”.
Arundhati Roy wrote on the recent escalation
of the conflict: “The country might be poised on the edge of a war with Pakistan or more
likely against the people of Kashmir…the Modi government was making moves to
push the country into a war-like situation to make the people forget the myriad
oppressions the current regime had inflicted on them. The Modi government had
promised to create two crore jobs every year. But unemployment was
skyrocketing. One per cent of rich Indians had wealth equivalent to the
combined wealth of 71% of the population.”
By exacerbating the economic and social
onslaught by India’s coercive capitalism upon the masses, the Modi regime has aggravated
a greater mass resentment. The world’s so-called “largest democracy” has the
largest concentration of poverty in the world. Wars and conflicts are systematically
used to obscure the working people’s revulsion and their growing revolt against
the system. In such frenzied periods of aggravated hostility the bosses inflict
further attacks on the living standards of the working class.
If the rulers of India have exploited the
tension of this military confrontation to attack the ordinary people, so too their
Pakistani counterparts have also not been lagging. Just during these two weeks
of these sharpened hostilities, they have drastically increased the prices of
petroleum products, gas and electricity. The inflation rate has shot up to a
record 8.2 per cent. Once again the economic costs of this war hysteria will be
laid upon the shoulders of the ordinary people of the two countries.
Despite his Hindutva chauvinist hysteria, Modi
might still end up losing the election. But the threat of war and devastation
for the almost two billion inhabitants of south Asia will linger on. Without
this state of enmity and hatred, the rule of the elites would be precarious. There
would be no justification for the massive military arsenals and expenditures of
both sides. Hence the region’s elite and the top brass have a vital stake in maintaining
this mutual hostility. At the same time, the imperialists and their military-industrial
complexes extort huge profits from their arms sales to India and Pakistan.
However, their heavy investments in these countries that extract billions from
the sweat and blood of the region’s workers and resources are also put at risk
by the threat of an actual all-out war. It’s one thing to start a war, but something
totally different to contain once it unravels.
History is witness to the fact that from
the wombs of wars often arise revolutions. The First World War was brought to an
end by a chain of mutinies and uprisings culminating in the Russian revolution.
The aftermath of the Second World War saw the revolutionary uprisings throughout
Asia, Europe and beyond. The Chinese revolution of 1949 was perhaps the second
greatest event in history. In the united India of that time, the revolution of
1946 spearheaded by the sailors of the Royal Indian Navy could easily have
changed the course of world history. The Indo-Pak war of 1965 was followed by the
eruption of the 1968-69 revolution in Pakistan, and even after her victory in
the 1971 war Indira Gandhi was later overthrown by an upsurge of the Indian
masses.
Serious experts of the ruling classes are
worried at the prospect of such outcomes; hence they try to avoid wars. But the
social and economic turbulence that arises from the crisis of their rotting
capitalist system forces the ruling class to maintain warlike conditions to divert
the class struggle and forestall the danger of revolution. This dilemma of the
ruling classes is an inevitable outcome of their obsolete system. Hence, to
expect any profound or lasting peace within the confines of the present system would
be a delusion and its propagation a deception.
Lenin wrote on May 14, 1917: “All
wars are inseparable from the political systems that engender them. The policy
which a given state, a given class within that state, pursued for a long time
before the war is inevitably continued by that same class during the war, the
form of action alone being changed… Nothing but a workers’ revolution in
several countries can defeat this war. The war is not a game, it is an
appalling thing taking toll of millions of lives, and it is not to be ended
easily.”
The current hysteria can backfire sooner
rather than later. The misery, deprivation, bloodshed and poverty perpetuated
by this system after seventy years of so-called independence has left the masses
in agony and rage. There is a seething revolt against this system below the
surface. The ruling classes cannot crush the working classes under this
millstone of bigoted frenzy, loathing and wars. Paradoxically these could boomerang
into the eruption of a mass movement with the class war coming to the forefront
throughout the subcontinent. In such conditions the nationalistic and religious
hatreds will be swept asunder once the masses arise in revolt on the basis of
class unity. A victorious socialist revolution will not only change the socio-economic
system and the character of the state; it will also transform geographical
impositions and the course of history— uniting the oppressed of the whole
region into a socialist federation of South Asia.
1 comment:
The article ignores the countless acts of terrorism committed by groups resident in Pakistan against Indian interests ( Kashmir, Indian Parliament, Taj Hotel...). Agreed that this is just hysteria fodder for Modi but when is Pakistan going to do something to stop these terrorist groups?
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