From Roger Silverman. London UK
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Trump’s return to power marks the beginning of a new era. From his first day in office, he has broken with an eighty-year long consensus. He has released hundreds of far-right thugs from the Capitol riots; shut down entire government agencies; demanded the resignations of 2.3 million government employees (65,000 of whom have already accepted a derisory bribe of eight months’ pay to give up their livelihood); planned the mass deportation of twelve million migrant workers; started building a new concentration camp in Guantanamo to incarcerate 30,000 of them…
How far will Trump go with his nightmare programme of mass deportations, political victimisations, forcible annexations, defiance of climate treaties, a global trade war, even preparations for world war with China? What are the prospects for mass resistance, and how far can he go in crushing it?
These are not mere tactical shifts of policy; this is a coup. Trump has control of both houses of Congress and had already in his first term packed the Supreme Court with his hand-picked stooges. He is shutting down entire departments and agencies. This is only the beginning: how long will it be before we see a new version of the Reichstag fire, a theatrical pretext enabling him to assume extra emergency powers?
And this is part of a worldwide process. The ruling class have torn off the liberal mask, not only in the USA but worldwide, including most of Europe, where one government after another has fallen to the far right, from social-democratic Scandinavia to Italy with its communist traditions, with Germany, Spain, France and Britain very possibly soon to follow. Now Trump, Musk and Vance are brazenly violating all the norms of diplomatic protocol by openly promoting the AfD in Germany, and Reform and even Tommy Robinson in Britain.
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To what extent would we be justified in calling this a form of neo-fascism? After all, both Mussolini and Hitler also came to power initially by perfectly constitutional means. Though neither the Fascists nor the Nazis had won overall parliamentary majorities, they were both legally appointed head of government by the King of Italy and the President of Germany respectively.
But there is a big difference. Both came to power after years of class struggle: strikes, uprisings, revolutions which had been confronted on the streets by violent mobs of counter-revolutionary strikebreaking thugs. The impasse in the class struggle having sapped the ability of the ruling class to wield power by traditional means, they made a decision to incorporate these private street gangs into the state machine and hand over power to lawless and unaccountable dictators. Fascism means the voluntary surrender of direct political power by the capitalist class to an agency of brute force in conditions of crisis and deadlock in the class struggle.
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Trump and Musk and the other clowns making up their bizarre administration may have fascist ambitions; but unlike fascists they have not come to power due to a failure to curb worker militancy by constitutional means; they represent a declining empire thrashing around to maintain its supremacy by whatever means available: dismantling constitutional balances, driving down wages, imposing tariffs, threatening annexations.
The classic capitalist state originally came into existence as an executive committee of the entire capitalist class. It acted to manage their affairs, protect their common interests, resolve disputes between them, collect taxes to administer their needs, provide essential services, control and repress the working class, etc. In the heyday of capitalism, business entrepreneurs entrusted the running of their state to the experts. Political leaders in their day were connoisseurs with a whole range of diplomatic skills, an expertise in strategic planning, a thorough understanding of the lessons of history… Trotsky commented that at its height the British ruling class was able to plan for decades and even centuries ahead. By contrast, Trump has the strategic foresight of a flea; he switches policy literally several times a day.
How is it that the political level of the ruling class has sunk so low? It’s because society today has become so grotesquely polarised; wealth so monstrously concentrated; the capitalist class so grossly monopolised, that it feels it can dispense with the need to assign its collective interests to a specialised political agency: it now wants to rule directly in its own name. Naked personal power is to be exercised by the owners of capital themselves. This is almost unprecedented. Only very briefly, around fifteen years ago, had isolated experiments along these lines been tried out before in Italy and in Greece, with the appointment in both cases of central bankers without previous political experience suddenly playing a direct executive role.
In the USA today power is concentrated directly in the hands of brash billionaires: the crooked property tycoon Trump and the venture capitalist multi-billionaire Elon Musk (soon to become the world’s first trillionaire). In a sense, this regime is the exact opposite of fascism. Fascism is the surrender of direct political power to an unaccountable dictatorship; Trumpism is the personal takeover of the functions of the state by a handful of capitalist oligarchs.
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Trump – now the single most powerful individual on the planet – is a prime example of the most criminal, coarse, vulgar, corrupt, parasitic kind of money-grubbing market trader: not even a genuine entrepreneur, just a gambler, a property speculator. He creates no value, makes nothing, manufactures nothing, simply buys and sells at an astronomical profit. And he treats the presidency simply as a projection of his business: an opportunity to get rich quick. His first act as president was to launch a personal crypto-currency, an extortion racket which has raked in millions of dollars for himself at the expense of some gullible speculators. He sees the horror and devastation of the Middle East not from the standpoint of global diplomacy, not as a statesman representing the long-term strategic interests of the American ruling class, but as a property developer, a “real estate” profiteer. For him, Gaza is a lucrative investment opportunity: at one point he even said in so many words: “I will own it”. The Israelis having already done him the favour of demolishing its existing structures, all that still needs to be done is to sweep away its inhabitants and build a “Riviera of the Middle East” – a property speculator’s dream.
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And his overall foreign policy wider afield also largely entails the acquisition of property: Greenland, Canada, the Panama Canal zone, Gaza… and where necessary, to clear away undesirable populations: not just the people of Gaza (and also soon the West Bank), but also up to twelve million inhabitants of the USA itself. He seems to regard his role as president running the USA as just a sequel to his former TV “reality show”. His nasty catch phrase in that show was “you’re fired!”; and that’s just the message he has now given to millions of government employees. You could call this the Trump reality show writ large.
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As for Elon Musk, although unlike Trump some of his enterprises do at least have something to do with actually making something useful, Musk himself is essentially just another investor of cash. He may or may not be an expert on cybernetics or cosmology or know anything personally about artificial intelligence or space rockets; he simply has a nose for how and where to invest and make a profit.
The political skills of the ruling establishment have become vulgarised and reduced to bluster, bullying and blackmail. In the hands of such types politics becomes simply “the art of the deal” (the name of Trump’s ghost-written book). But a state ruled directly by the oligarchy and lacking the diplomatic and strategic skills of a professional political caste can only end up in an almighty crash.
And that can only bring confrontation. So far there has been little overt resistance to Trump’s shock programme. But what is the future for the American working class? The imposition of tariffs will raise prices and depress the economy. The purge of state payrolls will push up unemployment. The expulsion of millions of migrant workers and the forced relocation of US companies from abroad will squeeze workers’ wages and conditions closer to third-world levels. Whatever illusions in the American dream still linger on will evaporate.
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The youth and the migrant population have begun to protest, but the mass of the working and exploited and pauperised population have not yet stirred. It is inconceivable that they will remain silent.
Big battles lie ahead. The outcome is uncertain; there is no guarantee of victory. The US working class no longer has the enormous potential industrial power it once had. It is no longer concentrated in heavy industry, but largely in retail, catering and delivery. But there has been a wave of unionisation in this sector, as well as strikes by teachers and railway workers. The traditions of organisation and militancy will be learned anew. Of one thing we can be sure: the last word is yet to be spoken.